Since in 4D there are 10 starter numbers, 10 consolation numbers and the top 3 prizes, we have 10 + 10 + 3 = 23 chances to hit the right numbers.
So the probability that your number will not win the first prize is
The probability that your number will not win any of the first two prizes is
Therefore the probability that your number will NOT win any of the 23 prizes would be
Thus, the probability that your number will WIN a prize in a 4D draw would be
1 - (9,99910,000)23 ≈ 0.0023
So, we can conclude that the chances of winning any prize in 4D is extremely low, at just 0.23%! So it would be wise to not spend too much on it, and keep it as a fun thing to do once in a while!
Do you know?
Many Singaporeans like to “study” past winning numbers to see which are more likely to come up in the next lottery draw. But the truth is that every draw is independent of one another, and all numbers have an equal chance of being drawn!
That means that if “2222” is drawn this week, it doesn’t mean that “2222” is more, or less, likely to be drawn again next week. So don’t get too hung up over which numbers to buy, because if there’s one thing math tells us, it’s that all numbers are equal!